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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1494831
2030 年光伏 (PV) 市場預測:按類型、安裝、電網類型、技術、應用和地區進行的全球分析Solar Photovoltaic (PV) Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Type (Multi-Silicon and Mono-Silicon), Installation (Ground Mounted, Rooftop and Other Installations), Grid Type, Technology, Application and By Geography |
根據Stratistics MRC的數據,2024年全球光伏(PV)市場規模為2,344億美元,預計2030年將達到8,941億美元,預測期內年複合成長率為25.0%。
光伏(PV)技術利用半導體材料將陽光直接轉化為電能。當暴露在陽光下時,這些材料會透過光伏效應產生電流。太陽能發電系統由含有大量太陽能電池的太陽能電池板組成,安裝在屋頂、地面或整合到建築材料中。太陽能是一種清潔的可再生能源來源,可以減少對石化燃料的依賴並減少溫室氣體排放。
根據《世界能源展望》,全球仍有超過 10 億人生活在沒有電力的情況下。根據國際能源總署(IEA)最新估計,2023年能源投資將約為2.8兆美元。其中超過 1.7 兆美元用於清潔能源。
擴大太陽能發電投資
太陽能發電投資的增加是光伏(PV)市場的主要促進因素。政府和私人公司正在向太陽能發電工程投入大量資金,以利用其環境效益和成本效益。這些投資是由世界推動可再生能源應對氣候變遷、減少碳排放和實現能源獨立所推動的。財政激勵、補貼和優惠政策進一步支持太陽能技術的採用。此外,技術進步和規模經濟顯著降低了太陽能發電系統的成本,使其對投資者俱有吸引力並加速市場成長。
轉換效率低
光伏(PV)電池的轉換效率是衡量其將陽光轉化為電能的效率的指標,對於光伏市場來說是一個極其重要的因素。儘管技術不斷進步,但商業太陽能電池的平均轉換率僅為其接收到的太陽能的 15-20% 左右。這種相對較低的轉換效率限制了整體能源輸出,並且需要更大的設備來滿足能源需求。材料品質、環境條件和技術固有的物理限制等因素導致了這種效率限制。
政府優惠政策及即將推出的計劃
有利的政府政策和即將推出的計劃為光伏(PV)市場創造了巨大的機會。許多政府推出了稅額扣抵、補貼和上網電價補貼等獎勵,以鼓勵太陽能的採用。旨在減少碳排放和推廣再生能源來源的政策正在鼓勵對太陽能發電工程的投資。此外,能源獨立的推動和太陽能技術成本的降低使得太陽能成為新能源計劃的有吸引力的選擇。即將推出的大型太陽能發電設施以及將太陽能引入住宅和商業建築進一步凸顯了該市場的成長潛力。
大型陸域供電
核能發電廠和燃煤電廠等大型陸上電源對光伏(PV)市場構成了重大競爭威脅。這些傳統能源來源通常受益於成熟的基礎設施、穩定的能源輸出,在某些情況下,由於規模經濟而每兆瓦時的成本較低。提供基本負載電力且不存在太陽能所面臨的間歇性問題的能力可能使其對電網和政策制定者俱有吸引力。此外,對石化燃料和核能的補貼和監管支持可能會使太陽能技術的發展和普及更加複雜。
儘管COVID-19的爆發對供應鏈產生了重大影響,但對市場成長的影響可以忽略不計。太陽能發電成本和相關技術的下降是推動全球太陽能市場的主要動力。原因包括規模經濟、材料效率提高和製造最佳化。然而,風能和生質能源等其他綠色技術的市場開拓等問題預計將在整個預期期間限制市場擴張。
預計地面安裝部分在預測期內將是最大的
由於公共產業規模計劃數量的增加、太陽能目標的增加以及太陽能安裝成本的下降,地面安裝部分預計將出現良好的成長。世界各地正在規劃大型太陽能發電工程,以實現能源來源多樣化並減少對石化燃料發電的依賴。因此,在上述背景下,大型太陽能發電工程的安裝量正在增加,地面光電發電預計將成為預測期內的主導部分。
住宅領域預計在預測期內年複合成長率最高
由於初始投資成本降低和太陽能組件效率提高,住宅領域預計在預測期內年複合成長率最快,並有望取得重大發展。然而,在聯邦激勵措施結束後,安裝量預計將下降,尤其是住宅領域的安裝量。在預測期內,隨著太陽能發電系統因用於發電和低成本住宅供暖而受到歡迎,市場預計將擴大。
預計亞太地區在預測期內將佔據最大的市場佔有率。該領域裝置容量最高的主要市場是新興國家。在過去的幾年裡,太陽能產業爆炸式成長,速度比該地區任何其他國家都要快。 JNNSM 旨在透過為普及太陽能發電創造有利的政治環境,將印度定位為太陽能發電的全球領導者。計劃中的太陽能發電工程、有利的政府政策以及光伏組件和相關系統價格下降等因素預計將在預測期內推動該地區的太陽能光伏市場。
預計北美在預測期內的年複合成長率最高。北美政府正在全國各地推出眾多太陽能光伏、太陽熱能發電和 CSP計劃。其中之一是位於索諾拉州利伯塔德港的 46.8MW 太陽能發電設施。因此,預計在預測期內,國內太陽能發電系統的需求將會增加。此外,由於滿足可再生能源需求的壓力加大,預計公共產業部門的產能將大幅增加。此外,由於屋頂太陽能的具體法規和獎勵,預計住宅安裝量將在預測期內增加。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Solar Photovoltaic (PV) Market is accounted for $234.4 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach $894.1 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 25.0% during the forecast period. Solar photovoltaic (PV) technology converts sunlight directly into electricity using semiconductor materials. When exposed to sunlight, these materials generate an electric current through the photovoltaic effect. Solar PV systems are composed of solar panels, which contain many solar cells, and are often installed on rooftops, ground-mounted arrays, or integrated into building materials. They offer a clean, renewable energy source, reducing reliance on fossil fuels and decreasing greenhouse gas emissions.
According to World Energy Outlook, more than 1 billion people worldwide are still living without electricity. According to recent estimates by the International Energy Agency (IEA), around USD 2.8 trillion has been invested in energy in 2023. More than USD 1.7 trillion have been spent on clean energy.
Growing investments in solar power resources
The increasing investments in solar power resources are a key driver in the solar photovoltaic (PV) market. Governments and private entities are channeling substantial funds into solar energy projects to capitalize on their environmental benefits and cost-effectiveness. These investments are motivated by the global push for renewable energy to combat climate change, reduce carbon emissions, and achieve energy independence. Financial incentives, subsidies, and favorable policies further encourage the adoption of solar PV technology. Additionally, technological advancements and economies of scale have significantly lowered the costs of solar PV systems, making them more attractive to investors and accelerating market growth.
Low conversion efficiencies
The conversion efficiency of solar photovoltaic (PV) cells, which measures how effectively sunlight is converted into electricity, is a critical factor in the PV market. Despite technological advancements, average commercial PV cells convert only about 15-20% of the solar energy they receive. This relatively low efficiency limits the overall energy output and necessitates larger installations to meet energy demands. Factors such as material quality, environmental conditions, and inherent physical limitations of the technology contribute to this efficiency restraint.
Favourable government policies and upcoming projects
Favorable government policies and upcoming projects present significant opportunities in the solar photovoltaic (PV) market. Many governments are implementing incentives such as tax credits, subsidies, and feed-in tariffs to promote solar energy adoption. Policies aimed at reducing carbon emissions and promoting renewable energy sources are driving investments in solar PV projects. Additionally, the push for energy independence and the decreasing costs of solar technology are making solar PV an attractive option for new energy projects. Upcoming large-scale solar installations and the integration of solar PV in residential and commercial buildings further underscore the growth potential in this market.
Large land based power source
Large land-based power sources, such as nuclear and coal plants, pose significant competitive threat to the solar photovoltaic (PV) market. These traditional energy sources often benefit from established infrastructure, consistent energy output, and, in some cases, lower costs per megawatt-hour due to economies of scale. Their ability to provide baseload power without the intermittency issues faced by solar PV can make them more attractive to energy grids and policymakers. Additionally, subsidies and regulatory support for fossil fuels and nuclear energy can further challenge the growth and adoption of solar PV technologies.
The COVID-19 epidemic significantly impacted the supply chain and had a very small influence on market growth. The lowering cost of solar PV and related technologies is the main force propelling the global solar PV market. Economies of scale, increased material efficiency, and manufacturing optimization can all be credited with the drop. However, throughout the anticipated period, issues including the development of other green technologies like wind and bio energy are anticipated to restrain market expansion.
The ground-mounted segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The Ground-mounted segment is estimated to have a lucrative growth, due to increase in utility-scale projects, solar energy targets, and falling solar PV installation costs. Large-scale solar PV projects are being planned by nations all over the world in an effort to diversify their energy sources and lessen their dependency on fossil fuel-based power generation. The increasing installation of large-scale utility solar PV projects is therefore anticipated to make ground-mounted solar PV a dominant segment over the projection period as a result of the considerations mentioned above.
The residential segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
The residential segment is anticipated to witness the fastest CAGR growth during the forecast period, due to lower initial investment costs and increased solar PV module efficiency, the residential sector is anticipated to experience significant development. However, a decline in installations, notably from the residential segment, is anticipated after the expiration of federal incentives. Over the course of the forecast period, the market's expansion is anticipated to be anticipated by the rising popularity of photovoltaic systems due to their use in power generation and low-cost residential building heating.
Asia Pacific is projected to hold the largest market share during the forecast period. The major markets in the sector with the greatest installed capacities are developing countries. Over the past few years, the solar photovoltaic industry has exploded more quickly than that of any other nation in the region. By establishing the political circumstances for its widespread deployment, JNNSM aims to position India as a global lead in solar energy. During the forecast period, factors including planned solar PV projects, favourable governmental policies, and falling prices for solar PV modules and related systems are anticipated to propel the solar PV market in the area.
North America is projected to have the highest CAGR over the forecast period. The government of North America has set up numerous solar, photovoltaic, as well as CSP projects all around the nation. One of these is a 46.8 MW-capacity photovoltaic facility at Puerto Libertad, Sonora. As a result, during the course of the projection period, the requirement for photovoltaic systems in the nation is anticipated to rise. In addition, the utility sector is anticipated to add significant capacity as a result of mounting pressure to achieve renewable energy requirements. Residential installations are also expected to increase over the projection period as a result of regulations and incentives tailored specifically to solar rooftop PV.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Solar Photovoltaic (PV) market include Acciona SA, BrightSource Energy Inc., Canadian Solar Inc., First Solar Inc., Hanwha Q Cells Co. Ltd., JA Solar Holdings Co. Ltd., JinkoSolar Holding Co. Ltd., LONGi Green Energy Technology Co. Ltd., Nextera Energy Sources LLC, Risen Energy, Royal Dutch Shell PLC, Sembcorp Energy India Ltd, Sharp Corporation, SunPower Corporation, Suntech Power Holding Co. Ltd., Tata Power Solar Systems Ltd. and Trina Solar Ltd.
In May 2024, Canadian Solar Inc. a global developer and owner of solar and energy storage assets, has announced the successful securing of a landmark multi-currency revolving credit facility valued at up to €1.3 billion. The agreement, signed by Recurrent Energy and ten participating financial institutions, aims to fund the construction of renewable energy projects across several European countries.
In April 2024, Indian Bank has entered into a strategic partnership with Tata Power Solar Systems Ltd. (TPSSL) to boost solar energy adoption by providing financial support to residential consumers for installations. The collaboration aims to provide financial support under the PM Surya Ghar Muft Bijli Yojana scheme for installations up to 3 KW, and from 3-10 KW under the regular scheme, the public sector lender said in a statement.