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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1662796
2030 年自動駕駛卡車市場預測:按卡車類型、推進類型、組件、自動化程度、應用和地區進行的全球分析Autonomous Trucks Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Truck Type (Light-Duty Trucks, Medium-Duty Trucks and Heavy-Duty Trucks), Propulsion Type (Diesel, Electric and Hybrid), Component, Automation Level, Application and By Geography |
根據 Stratistics MRC 的數據,全球自動駕駛卡車市場預計在 2024 年達到 345.9 億美元,到 2030 年將達到 751.7 億美元,預測期內的複合年成長率為 12.8%。
自動駕駛卡車是一種商用車輛,它使用人工智慧 (AI)、感測器、攝影機、雷達和先進的軟體,在極少的人工干預下或完全不需要人工干預的情況下行駛。它使用 LiDAR、GPS 和機器學習等技術來偵測障礙物、解釋交通號誌並最佳化路線。該公司的目標是提高效率,減少人為錯誤,降低運輸成本,並最終徹底改變物流、貨運和供應鏈管理等行業的遠距貨運和配送服務。
美國聯邦汽車運輸安全管理局與卡車運輸業領導者合作進行的一項研究發現,採用自動駕駛技術可將追撞事故減少 50%,同時提高資產運作和駕駛員保留率。
物流和貨運需求不斷成長
電子商務、即時交付模式和全球化的快速擴張推動著對高效、經濟且可擴展的運輸解決方案的需求。自動駕駛卡車可以提供全天候營運、減少人為錯誤並降低營運成本,有助於解決駕駛員短缺、燃料成本上升和供應鏈效率低下等挑戰。公司正在投資自動駕駛技術以最佳化車隊管理並提高運輸速度。隨著貨運量持續上升,自動駕駛卡車的採用將加速,以有效滿足需求,這將顯著促進市場成長。
監管和法律的不確定性
自動駕駛卡車的監管和法律不確定性源於不同國家和州的法律差異,以及缺乏有關檢查、操作和責任的標準化政策。各國政府一直在努力確定事故責任、網路安全風險和道德問題,從而減緩了大規模部署。不一致的規定給製造商和車隊營運商設置了障礙,增加了合規成本並阻礙了投資。這種不確定性將減緩該技術的採用,並最終阻礙自動駕駛卡車市場的成長。
人工智慧和感測器技術的進步
人工智慧和感測器技術的進步是自動駕駛卡車的關鍵驅動力,可增強車輛的感知、導航和決策能力。人工智慧演算法處理來自LiDAR、雷達、相機和 GPS 的即時資料,以改善物體偵測、避障和路線最佳化。這些創新透過減少人為錯誤、最佳化燃料消耗和降低營運成本,使自動駕駛卡車更加現實。隨著感測器精度和人工智慧能力的提升,物流、貨運和工業領域的應用將加速,從而推動市場擴張。
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由於自動駕駛技術需要昂貴的硬體和軟體,因此自動駕駛卡車的初始投資成本很高。先進的LiDAR、雷達、攝影機、支援人工智慧的處理器和連接解決方案大大增加了生產成本。此外,研發成本、法規遵循和基礎設施升級也增加了財務負擔。這些高成本,尤其是對於中小型物流公司而言,將限制採用,從而阻礙市場成長。
COVID-19 疫情擾亂了自動駕駛卡車市場,導致供應鏈延遲、半導體短缺以及研發活動放緩。然而,勞動力短缺和不斷成長的電子商務需求也凸顯了物流自動化的必要性。雖然某些地區的監管進展緩慢,但人們對自動駕駛技術的長期興趣日益成長,刺激了貨運自動化領域的夥伴關係和創新,以提高未來供應鏈營運的效率和彈性。
預計預測期內感測器部分將成為最大的部分。
預計預測期內感測器部分將佔據最大的市場佔有率。感測器在自動駕駛卡車中發揮著至關重要的作用,實現即時感知、導航和決策。LiDAR、雷達、攝影機和超音波感測器等技術可實現即時物體偵測、車道維持和主動車距控制巡航系統。這些感測器透過減少人為錯誤、增強障礙物檢測以及實現不同天氣條件下的精確導航來提高道路安全性。
預計預測期內港口和碼頭業務部門將以最高的複合年成長率成長。
由於效率提高、成本降低和安全性增強,預計港口和碼頭業務部門將在預測期內實現最高成長率。這些自動駕駛汽車將實現貨櫃運輸自動化,減少對人類駕駛員的依賴並最大限度地減少延誤。使用 AI、LiDAR、GPS 和 IoT 來導航複雜環境並最佳化負載處理和物流。總體而言,它正在提高全球貿易中心的供應鏈效率。
在預測期內,由於電子商務的興起、貨運需求的增加以及政府對自動化的支持舉措,預計亞太地區將佔據最大的市場佔有率。得益於人工智慧、5G 和智慧基礎設施的進步,中國、日本和韓國等國家在自動駕駛汽車發展方面處於領先地位。中國科技巨頭和汽車製造商正在大力投資自動駕駛卡車,而日本則專注於解決駕駛員短缺問題。此外,強勁的工業化和物流擴張使亞太地區成為全球自動駕駛卡車行業的主要參與企業。
在預測期內,北美預計將呈現最高的複合年成長率,這得益於貨運需求旺盛、卡車駕駛人短缺和強勁的技術進步。美國引領市場,特斯拉、Waymo 和 TuSimple 等公司正在開發自動駕駛卡車技術。政府支持,包括測試核准和法規結構,正在加速採用。加拿大也在投資遠距路線的自動駕駛卡車。北美繼續成為自動駕駛卡車解決方案創新和部署的重要樞紐。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Autonomous Trucks Market is accounted for $34.59 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach $75.17 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 12.8% during the forecast period. Autonomous trucks are self-driving commercial vehicles that use artificial intelligence (AI), sensors, cameras, radar, and advanced software to navigate roads with minimal or no human intervention. They operate using technologies like LiDAR, GPS, and machine learning to detect obstacles, interpret traffic signals, and optimize routes. They aim to enhance efficiency, reduce human error, and lower transportation costs in industries like logistics, freight, and supply chain management, ultimately revolutionizing long-haul trucking and delivery services.
According to a study conducted by the Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration in collaboration with trucking industry leaders, the implementation of autonomous technologies has enabled a 50% reduction in rear-end crashes and an increase in asset uptime and driver retention.
Growing demand for logistics & freight transportation
The rapid expansion of e-commerce, just-in-time delivery models, and globalization have increased the need for efficient, cost-effective, and scalable transportation solutions. Autonomous trucks help address challenges like driver shortages, rising fuel costs, and supply chain inefficiencies by offering 24/7 operation, reduced human errors, and lower operational costs. Companies are investing in self-driving technology to optimize fleet management and enhance delivery speed. As freight volumes continue to rise, the adoption of autonomous trucks accelerates to meet demand efficiently, boosting market growth significantly.
Regulatory & legal uncertainty
Regulatory and legal uncertainty in autonomous trucks arises from varying laws across countries and states, lacking standardized policies for testing, operation, and liability. Governments struggle to define responsibility in accidents, cybersecurity risks, and ethical concerns, delaying large-scale deployment. Inconsistent regulations create barriers for manufacturers and fleet operators, increasing compliance costs and limiting investment confidence. This uncertainty slows technological adoption, ultimately hampering the growth of the autonomous trucks market.
Advancements in AI & sensor technology
Advancements in AI and sensor technology are key drivers of the autonomous trucks, enhancing vehicle perception, navigation, and decision-making. AI-powered algorithms process real-time data from LiDAR, radar, cameras, and GPS, improving object detection, obstacle avoidance, and route optimization. These innovations reduce human errors, optimize fuel consumption, and lower operational costs, making autonomous trucking more viable. As sensor accuracy and AI capabilities improve, adoption accelerates across logistics, freight, and industrial sectors, thereby propelling the market expansion.
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Autonomous trucks have high initial investment costs due to the expensive hardware and software required for self-driving technology. Advanced LiDAR, radar, cameras, AI-powered processors, and connectivity solutions significantly increase production costs. Additionally, R&D expenses, regulatory compliance, and infrastructure upgrades add to the financial burden. These high costs hamper market growth by limiting adoption, especially for small and mid-sized logistics companies.
The covid-19 pandemic disrupted the autonomous trucks market, causing supply chain delays, semiconductor shortages, and slowed R&D activities. However, it also highlighted the need for automation in logistics due to labor shortages and rising e-commerce demand. Regulatory progress was delayed in some regions, but long-term interest in self-driving technology grew, accelerating partnerships and innovation in freight automation to enhance efficiency and resilience in future supply chain operations.
The sensors segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The sensors segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period. Sensors play a crucial role in autonomous trucks, enabling real-time perception, navigation, and decision-making. Technologies like LiDAR, radar, cameras, and ultrasonic sensors enable real-time object detection, lane-keeping, and adaptive cruise control. These sensors improve road safety by reducing human errors, enhancing obstacle detection, and enabling precise navigation in various weather conditions.
The port & terminal operations segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
Over the forecast period, the port & terminal operations segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate owing to their improved efficiency, reducing costs, and enhancing safety. These self-driving vehicles automate container transport, reducing reliance on human drivers and minimizing delays. Using AI, LiDAR, GPS, and IoT, they navigate complex environments, optimizing cargo handling and logistics. Overall, they enhance supply chain efficiency in global trade hubs.
During the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is expected to hold the largest market share due to rising e-commerce, increasing freight demand, and government initiatives supporting automation. Countries like China, Japan, and South Korea are leading in autonomous vehicle development, driven by advancements in AI, 5G, and smart infrastructure. China's tech giants and automakers invest heavily in self-driving trucks, while Japan focuses on mitigating driver shortages. Further, strong industrialization and logistics expansion positioned Asia-Pacific as a key player in the global autonomous trucking industry.
Over the forecast period, the North America region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR driven by high demand for freight transportation, a shortage of truck drivers, and strong technological advancements. The U.S. leads the market, with companies like Tesla, Waymo, and TuSimple developing self-driving truck technology. Government support, including testing approvals and regulatory frameworks, accelerates adoption. Canada is also investing in autonomous trucking for long-haul routes. North America remains a key hub for innovation and deployment of autonomous trucking solutions.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Autonomous Trucks market include Hyundai Motor Company, Iveco Group, Scania, Traton Group, Gatik, Volvo Autonomous Solutions, Kodiak Robotics, Daimler Trucks, Tesla, Waymo, TuSimple, Embark Trucks, Aurora Innovation, Einride, Torc Robotics, Pronto.ai, Caterpillar Inc. and Plus.
In November 2024, Caterpillar Inc. has launched the fully autonomous Cat(R) 777 off-highway truck. The Cat(R) 777, a mid-sized off-highway truck widely used in mining and construction, has been successfully operated without human intervention. With this successful demonstration, Caterpillar strengthens its position as a leader in autonomous heavy machinery, paving the way for broader adoption of self-driving construction and mining equipment worldwide.
In October 2024, Traton Group and Plus launched the Level 4 autonomous truck operations in the US and Europe. The companies have also mapped hub-to-hub routes for phased commercial deployment in Texas. This milestone signifies the successful completion of their initial phase of collaboration to bring driverless trucks to the global market.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.