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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1630451

亞太地區核子反應爐退役：市場佔有率分析、產業趨勢和成長預測（2025-2030）

Asia-Pacific Nuclear Power Reactor Decommissioning - Market Share Analysis, Industry Trends & Statistics, Growth Forecasts (2025 - 2030)
出版日期: | 出版商: Mordor Intelligence | 英文 110 Pages | 商品交期: 2-3個工作天內

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簡介目錄

預計亞太地區核子反應爐退役市場在預測期內的複合年成長率將超過6%。

亞太核電反應器退役-市場-IMG1

COVID-19 對 2020 年市場產生了負面影響。目前，市場已達到疫情前水準。

主要亮點

  • 從中期來看，太陽能和風能等再生能源來源的滲透率不斷提高，產生更清潔、更經濟的能源，預計將在預測期內推動市場發展。
  • 另一方面，除役成本高和成熟電廠數量少預計將成為預測期內限制市場成長的主要因素。
  • 工廠退役中擴大使用機器人和人工智慧預計將為亞太核子反應爐退役市場創造重大機會。
  • 由於除役計劃數量不斷增加和政府支持措施，日本預計將在預測期內主導亞太核子反應爐除役市場。

亞太核子反應爐退役市場趨勢

商業核子反應爐預計將主導市場

  • 商業核能發電廠是部署在社區內用於發電的發電廠，用於國家能源網，將電力傳輸和分配到國家各部門。在亞太地區，大多數核能發電廠屬於商業反應器類別。
  • 根據世界核能協會統計，亞太地區有 140 座商業核能發電廠在運作中。此外，還有35座商業發電廠正處於建設階段，約40-50座商業發電廠正處於規劃階段。
  • 亞太核子反應爐退役市場在預測期內將會成長，因為中國、日本、韓國和印度等亞太主要國家在 1960 年代和 1970 年代設計和持有了 70 多座核子反應爐，預計將引領這一市場。
  • 2021年亞太地區核能發電總量為714.3兆瓦時(TWh)，高於該地區2020年的655太瓦時。該地區許多國家仍在發展核能發電，預計將阻礙該地區的市場成長。
  • 2021年，韓國水力核能發電（KHNP）向核能安保障委員會（NSSC）申請拆除釜山附近古里核能發電廠1號機組的許可。該機組於2017年6月永久關閉，成為韓國第一座除役的核子反應爐。該公司正在等待許可證核准。
  • 因此，鑑於上述幾點，商業動力反應爐很可能在預測期內主導亞太核子反應爐除役市場。

日本預計主導市場

  • 截至2021年，日本透過33座核子反應爐生產61.2TWh電力，總合容量為31.68GWe。截至2022年12月，日本有兩座在建核子反應爐，總合2.75 GWe，一座規劃核子反應爐，總合1.38 GWe，在建、規劃、規劃核子反應爐11.56 GWe，各有8台。中國第一座商用核子反應爐於1966年中期開始運行，自1973年以來核能一直是國家戰略重點。 2011年福島核電事故對此進行了修訂。
  • 截至2021年，日本運作核能容量已從2015年的24,932 MWe減少至16,321 MWe。此次減產意味著日本正努力削減核能能。
  • 截至2022年12月，日本已關閉27座核子反應爐，總合容量為17,128兆瓦。不過，日本8%的電力需求仍由核能滿足。
  • 此外，鑑於烏克蘭和俄羅斯之間的戰爭，日本政府將重點轉向獲取能源安全。因此，政府宣布將在2022年冬季前加速運作7個反應爐。
  • 此外，2023年11月，經濟產業省提案了一項前進道路，透過用現代化、安全的核電站取代老化的核能發電廠，並排除檢查延誤，允許一些核子反應爐繼續運行60年以上。創建根據該行動計劃，33座運行核能發電廠中的大部分將在未來幾年內除役。
  • 例如，日本美國核能管理委員會於2021年核准了東京電力公司（Tepco）對福島第二核能發電廠（位於受損的福島第一核電廠附近）的四個核子反應爐除役的計畫。除役工作預計需要44年時間。儲存在該裝置儲存池中的 10,000 個燃料組件將在 22 年內拆除和重新處理。
  • 鑑於上述情況，預計日本將在預測期內主導亞太核子反應爐退役市場。

亞太核子反應爐退役產業概況

亞太地區核子反應爐退役市場適度細分。該市場的主要企業（排名不分先後）包括日立通用電氣核能有限公司、日本原子能公司、Snc-Lavalin Group Inc（阿特金斯）、東京電力公司控股公司、韓國水電與核電公司等。 。

其他好處

  • Excel 格式的市場預測 (ME) 表
  • 3 個月分析師支持

目錄

第1章簡介

  • 調查範圍
  • 市場定義
  • 研究場所

第 2 章執行摘要

第3章調查方法

第4章市場概況

  • 介紹
  • 至2028年市場規模及需求預測（單位：十億美元）
  • 最新趨勢和發展
  • 政府法規和措施
  • 市場動態
    • 促進因素
    • 抑制因素
  • 供應鏈分析
  • 波特五力分析
    • 供應商的議價能力
    • 消費者議價能力
    • 新進入者的威脅
    • 替代品的威脅
    • 競爭公司之間的敵對關係

第5章市場區隔

  • 核子反應爐類型
    • 壓水式反應爐
    • 加壓重水反應器
    • 沸水式反應爐
    • 高溫反應爐
    • 液態金屬快滋生反應器
    • 其他核子反應爐
  • 目的
    • 商業動力反應爐
    • 演示反應爐
    • 研究反應器
  • 核子反應爐容量
    • 100MW以下
    • 100～1,000MW
    • 1,000MW以上
  • 市場分析：按地區（2028 年之前的市場規模和需求預測）
    • 日本
    • 中國
    • 其他亞太地區

第6章 競爭狀況

  • 合併、收購、聯盟和合資企業
  • 主要企業策略
  • 公司簡介
    • GE-Hitachi Nuclear Energy, Ltd.
    • The Japan Atomic Power Co.
    • TUV Rheinland Group
    • Snc-Lavalin Group Inc（Atkins）
    • Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings, Inc.
    • Orano SA
    • Korea Hydro & Nuclear Power Co., Ltd.
    • Toshiba Corp

第7章 市場機會及未來趨勢

簡介目錄
Product Code: 71562

The Asia-Pacific Nuclear Power Reactor Decommissioning Market is expected to register a CAGR of greater than 6% during the forecast period.

Asia-Pacific Nuclear Power Reactor Decommissioning - Market - IMG1

COVID-19 negatively impacted the market in 2020. Presently the market has reached pre-pandemic levels.

Key Highlights

  • Over the medium term, increasing penetration of renewable energy sources such as solar and wind, which produce cleaner and more economical energy, are expected to drive the market during the forecasted period.
  • On the other hand, the high cost of decommissioning plants and few numbers of mature power plants are significant restraints expected to hinder the market's growth during the forecasted period.
  • Nevertheless, the increasing usage of robots and artificial intelligence for plant decommissioning is expected to create significant opportunities for the Asia Pacific nuclear power reactor decommissioning market.
  • Japan is expected to dominate the Asia Pacific nuclear power reactor decommissioning market over the forecast period due to the increasing decommissioning projects and supportive government policies.

Asia Pacific Nuclear Power Reactor Decommissioning Market Trends

Commercial Power Reactor Expected to Dominate the Market

  • Commercial nuclear power plants are the power plants deployed in the region to generate electricity and utilized in the national energy grid through which the generated electricity is transmitted and distributed to various sectors of the country. In the Asia-pacific region, the majority of the nuclear power plants fall under the commercial reactor category.
  • According to World Nuclear Association, 140 active commercial nuclear power plants exist in the Asia-pacific region. Moreover, 35 commercial power plants are in the construction stage, while around 40-50 commercial power plants are in the planning stages.
  • The major countries in the region, such as China, Japan, South Korea, and India, are expected to drive the nuclear power reactor decommissioning market in the Asia-Pacific region during the forecast period, as the region has more than 70 reactors that are designed and built in the 1960s and 1970s.
  • The total power produced by nuclear energy in Asia-Pacific in 2021 was 714.3 terawatt-hours (TWh), which was higher than the region produced in 2020, which was 655 TWh. Many countries in the region are still developing nuclear power for electricity, which is anticipated to hinder the regional market growth.
  • In 2021, Korea Hydro & Nuclear Power (KHNP) applied to the Nuclear Safety & Security Commission (NSSC) for approval to dismantle unit 1 of the Kori nuclear power plant near Busan. The unit was permanently shut down in June 2017, becoming the first South Korean reactor to enter decommissioning. The company is waiting for the permit approval.
  • Hence, owing to the above points, the commercial power reactor will likely dominate the Asia-Pacific nuclear power reactor decommissioning market during the forecast period.

Japan Expected to Dominate the Market

  • As of 2021, Japan has generated 61.2 TWh of electricity from its thirty-three nuclear reactors with a combined capacity of 31.68 GWe. As of December 2022, the country has two nuclear reactors under construction with a combined total of 2.75 GWe; one reactor is under planning stages with a total of 1.38 GWe, and eight reactors with a combined capacity of 11.56 GWe under construction, planned, and proposed stages, respectively. The country's first commercial nuclear power reactor began operating in mid-year 1966, and nuclear energy has been a national strategic priority since 1973. This came under review after the 2011 Fukushima accident.
  • As of 2021, Japan's operable nuclear energy capacity reduced to 16321 MWe compared to 24932 MWe in 2015. This decreasing capacity signifies Japan's effort to reduce its nuclear capacity.
  • As of December 2022, Japan has shut down 27 nuclear reactors with a total capacity of 17128 MWe. But still, the country's 8% of electricity needs are met through nuclear energy.
  • Moreover, in light of the war between Ukraine and Russia, the government of Japan shifted its focus to gaining energy security. Thus, the government announced that the country would accelerate the restart of nine units by winter 2022 and seven units by summer 2023.
  • Furthermore, in November 2023, the Ministry of Economy, Trade, and Industry proposed an action plan to replace old nuclear power plants with modern, safer ones and create a path for some reactors to remain in operation for more than 60 years by excluding inspection delays. As per this action plan, most of the 33 operable nuclear power plants will be decommissioned in the coming years.
  • For instance, in 2021, Japan's nuclear regulator approved Tokyo Electric Power Company's (Tepco's) decommissioning plan for the four reactors at its Fukushima Daini nuclear power plant, close to the damaged Fukushima Daiichi plant. The decommissioning process is expected to take 44 years. The 10,000 fuel assemblies held in the units' storage pools will be removed over 22 years and will be reprocessed.
  • Hence, owing to the above points, Japan is expected to dominate the Asia-Pacific nuclear power reactor decommissioning market during the forecast period.

Asia Pacific Nuclear Power Reactor Decommissioning Industry Overview

The Asia-Pacific Nuclear Power Reactor Decommissioning Market is moderately fragmented. Some of the key players in this market (not in a particular order) include Hitachi-GE Nuclear Energy, Ltd., Japan Atomic Power Co., Snc-Lavalin Group Inc (Atkins), Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings, Inc., and Korea Hydro & Nuclear Power Co., Ltd.

Additional Benefits:

  • The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
  • 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 INTRODUCTION

  • 1.1 Scope of the Study
  • 1.2 Market Definition
  • 1.3 Study Assumptions

2 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

3 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

4 MARKET OVERVIEW

  • 4.1 Introduction
  • 4.2 Market Size and Demand Forecast in USD billion, till 2028
  • 4.3 Recent Trends and Developments
  • 4.4 Government Policies and Regulations
  • 4.5 Market Dynamics
    • 4.5.1 Drivers
    • 4.5.2 Restraints
  • 4.6 Supply Chain Analysis
  • 4.7 Porter's Five Force Analysis
    • 4.7.1 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
    • 4.7.2 Bargaining Power of Consumers
    • 4.7.3 Threat of New Entrants
    • 4.7.4 Threat of Substitutes Products and Services
    • 4.7.5 Intensity of Competitive Rivalry

5 MARKET SEGMENTATION

  • 5.1 Reactor Type
    • 5.1.1 Pressurized Water Reactor
    • 5.1.2 Pressurized Heavy Water Reactor
    • 5.1.3 Boiling Water Reactor
    • 5.1.4 High-temperature Gas-cooled Reactor
    • 5.1.5 Liquid Metal Fast Breeder Reactor
    • 5.1.6 Other Reactor Types
  • 5.2 Application
    • 5.2.1 Commercial Power Reactor
    • 5.2.2 Prototype Power Reactor
    • 5.2.3 Research Reactor
  • 5.3 Capacity
    • 5.3.1 Below 100 MW
    • 5.3.2 100-1000 MW
    • 5.3.3 Above 1000 MW
  • 5.4 Regional Market Analysis {Market Size and Demand Forecast till 2028 (for regions only)}
    • 5.4.1 Japan
    • 5.4.2 China
    • 5.4.3 Rest of Asia-Pacific

6 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • 6.1 Mergers, Acquisitions, Collaboration and Joint Ventures
  • 6.2 Strategies Adopted by Key Players
  • 6.3 Company Profiles
    • 6.3.1 GE- Hitachi Nuclear Energy, Ltd.
    • 6.3.2 The Japan Atomic Power Co.
    • 6.3.3 TUV Rheinland Group
    • 6.3.4 Snc-Lavalin Group Inc (Atkins)
    • 6.3.5 Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings, Inc.
    • 6.3.6 Orano SA
    • 6.3.7 Korea Hydro & Nuclear Power Co., Ltd.
    • 6.3.8 Toshiba Corp

7 MARKET OPPORTUNITIES AND FUTURE TRENDS