東非石油和天然氣上游 -市場佔有率分析、產業趨勢、成長預測（2025-2030）

East Africa Oil and Gas Upstream - Market Share Analysis, Industry Trends & Statistics, Growth Forecasts (2025 - 2030)

出版日期: 2025年01月05日 | 出版商:

Mordor Intelligence | 英文 100 Pages | 商品交期: 2-3個工作天內

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簡介目錄

預計東非油氣上游市場在預測期內複合年成長率將超過3%。

2020 年市場受到 COVID-19 的負面影響。目前市場處於大流行前的水平。

主要亮點

從中期來看，該地區石油和天然氣產量和消費的成長預計將在預測期內提振東非石油和天然氣上游市場。
同時，南蘇丹和索馬利亞等東非國家的不穩定可能會阻礙該地區石油和天然氣產業的成長。
然而，該全部區域越來越多的探勘計劃預計將為市場參與企業提供機會。
由於對石油業的投資增加，預計肯亞將在預測期內主導市場。

東非油氣上游市場趨勢

陸上部門主導市場

截至2021年，陸上油氣天然氣田非油氣總產量的較大比例。例如，南蘇丹的石油產量將僅來自陸上油田，從2010年的每天31,000桶增加到2021年的每天153,000桶。
對石油產品的需求不斷成長，以及東非國家透過現有和新發現擴大石油和天然氣產量的努力預計將在預測期內推動陸上領域的上游活動。
2022 年 7 月，剛果民主共和國 (DRC) 政府宣布計劃在未來幾輪許可中提供 27 個石油區塊和 3 個天然氣區塊。 27個油田中，3個位於剛果中部省沿海盆地，11個位於坦噶尼喀湖周邊，9個位於庫韋特中部，4個位於艾伯特湖周邊。這三個氣田位於基伍湖沿岸。
2022 年 10 月，印度國家石油公司子公司 ONGC Videsh Ltd (OVL) 和 Indian Oil Corp. Ltd (IOCL) 宣布收購 Tullow Oil PLC 正在推進的 34 億美元石油計劃約 50% 的參與權益。 PLC 談判共同收購
因此，預計陸上產業將在預測期內主導市場。

肯亞正在經歷顯著的成長

在東非地區，肯亞很可能成為預測期內原油產量大幅增加的主要國家之一，目前石油消費量量約2%。
產量的增加預計將歸因於 ONGC Videsh、IOCL 和 TotalEnergies 等公司的投資決定。
從2014年開始，該國鑽機數量從2011年的1座增加到11座，許多國際石油公司的探勘和生產活動大幅增加。然而，到2021年，該國祇有四座鑽機在運作中。
2022 年 2 月，TotalEnergies 和艾伯特湖開發案的合作夥伴宣布了烏干達和坦尚尼亞的最終投資決定和計劃啟動。
2014年和2020年的油價暴跌對市場造成了嚴重影響。然而，此後已經恢復，這可以從該國石油和天然氣行業最終投資決策數量的增加看出。
石油和天然氣上游計劃投資的增加預計將在預測期內推動肯亞石油和天然氣上游市場的成長。

東非油氣上游產業概況

東非上游油氣市場適度整合。主要企業包括（排名不分先後）肯亞國家石油公司、Equinor ASA、埃克森美孚、泛非能源坦尚尼亞有限公司和中國石油天然氣集團公司。

其他好處

Excel 格式的市場預測 (ME) 表
3 個月分析師支持

Key Highlights

Over the medium term, increasing production and consumption of oil and gas in the region are expected to boost East Africa's oil and gas upstream market during the forecast period.
On the other hand, instability in East African countries like South Sudan and Somalia may impede growth in the oil and gas sector in the region.
However, an increasing number of exploration projects across the region are expected to act as an opportunity for the market players.
Kenya is expected to dominate the market during the forecast period due to the rising investment in the oil industry.

East Africa Oil and Gas Upstream Market Trends

Onshore Sector to Dominate the Market

As of 2021, onshore oil and gas fields accounted for a significant share of the total oil and gas production in East Africa. For example, South Sudan's oil production, which solely comes from onshore oilfields, increased from 31 thousand barrels per day in 2010 to 153 thousand barrels per day in 2021.
The increasing demand for petroleum products and the East African countries' efforts to boost oil and gas production through existing and new discoveries are expected to drive the upstream activities in the onshore segment during the forecast period.
In July 2022, the government of the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC ) announced its plans to put on offer 27 oil blocks and three gas blocks in its upcoming licensing round. Of the 27 oil blocks, three are in the coastal basin of the Kongo Central province, 11 are near Lake Tanganyika, nine are in the Cuvette Centrale, and four are near Lake Albert. The three gas blocks are located on Lake Kivu.
In October 2022, a consortium of India's national oil company's subsidiary ONGC Videsh Ltd (OVL) and Indian Oil Corp. Ltd (IOCL) announced that they are in talks with Tullow Oil PLC to jointly acquire around 50% participating interest in the latter's USD 3.4 billion oil project in Kenya.
Therefore, due to such factors, the onshore sector is expected to dominate the market during the forecast period.

Kenya to Witness Significant Growth

In the East African region, Kenya is likely to be one of the significant countries witnessing a significant ramp-up of crude oil production during the forecast period, up from approximately 2% of the country's current oil consumption.
The production growth is expected due to the investment decision made by companies like ONGC Videsh, IOCL, and TotalEnergies.
The country witnessed a significant rise in exploration and production activities from a number of international oil companies, starting in 2014 when the rig count in the country increased to 11 from a mere 1 in 2011. However, in 2021, the country only had four operational rigs.
In February 2022, TotalEnergies and the Lake Albert Development Project partners announced the final investment decision and the launch of the project in Uganda and Tanzania, representing a total investment of approximately USD 10 billion.
The crude oil prices crash of 2014 and 2020 severely impacted the market. However, it has recovered since then, which can be observed through the increasing number of final investment decisions in the country's oil and gas sector.
The increased investment in upstream oil and gas projects is likely to drive the growth of Kenya's oil and gas upstream market during the forecast period.

East Africa Oil and Gas Upstream Industry Overview

The East African oil and gas upstream market is moderately consolidated. Some of the major companies include (in no particular order) the National Oil Corporation of Kenya, Equinor ASA, ExxonMobil Corporation, PanAfrican Energy Tanzania Ltd, and China National Petroleum Corporation.

Additional Benefits:

The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
3 months of analyst support

1 INTRODUCTION

1.1 Scope of the Study
1.2 Market Definition
1.3 Study Assumptions

2 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

3 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

4 MARKET OVERVIEW

4.1 Introduction
4.2 Oil Production Forecast in thousand barrels per day, till 2027
4.3 Natural Gas Production Forecast in billion cubic feet per day, till 2027
4.4 Recent Trends and Developments
4.5 Government Policies and Regulations
4.6 Market Dynamics
- 4.6.1 Drivers
- 4.6.2 Restraints
4.7 Supply Chain Analysis
4.8 PESTLE ANALYSIS

5 MARKET SEGMENTATION

5.1 Location
- 5.1.1 Onshore
- 5.1.2 Offshore
5.2 Geography
- 5.2.1 Tanzania
- 5.2.2 Mozambique
- 5.2.3 Kenya
- 5.2.4 Rest of East Africa

6 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

6.1 Mergers and Acquisitions, Joint Ventures, Collaborations, and Agreements
6.2 Strategies Adopted by Leading Players
6.3 Company Profiles
- 6.3.1 National Oil Corporation of Kenya
- 6.3.2 Equinor ASA
- 6.3.3 Exxon Mobil Corporation
- 6.3.4 PanAfrican Energy Tanzania Ltd
- 6.3.5 China National Petroleum Corporation
- 6.3.6 TotalEnergies SE