市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1617200
2030 年可再生能源市場預測:按類型、應用和地區分類的全球分析Renewable Energy Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Type, Application and By Geography |
根據Stratistics MRC預測,2024年全球可再生能源市場規模將達到12,691.4億美元,預測期內複合年成長率為18.8%,預計到2030年將達到35,678.5億美元。
可再生能源是指從陽光、風、雨、潮汐、波浪、地熱等自然資源中獲得的、可以在人類時間尺度上恢復的能源。再生能源來源對於阻止氣候變遷和確保永續發展至關重要,因為與石化燃料相比,排放的溫室氣體更少,對環境的污染也更少。
根據國際能源總署 (IEA) 的數據,在加速情境下,到 2030 年,全球可再生能源裝置容量將增加近兩倍,達到近 11,000 吉瓦。
降低可再生能源技術成本
由於過去十年成本顯著降低,可再生能源技術在經濟上已具備與石化燃料相比的競爭力。根據國際可再生能源機構(IRENA)的報告,自2010年以來,陸上風力發電成本下降了40%,光電模組價格下降了80%。這一趨勢是由技術創新、規模經濟和製造業進步所推動的。此外,例如,中國在太陽能板生產方面的主導地位導致全球價格下降,而渦輪機效率的提高使風電變得更便宜。
初期投資成本高
儘管成本大幅降低,但與傳統石化燃料系統相比,可再生能源技術仍需要大量初始投資。風力發電機、太陽能發電廠和複雜的電網系統等基礎設施需要大量的財務投資。例如,大型離岸風力發電計劃可能會因電網整合、海底電纜和渦輪機安裝的成本而令投資者望而卻步。此外,開發中國家的財政資源有限,在沒有外部援助或融資的情況下往往難以為可再生能源計劃獲得融資。
綠氫能發展
隨著綠色氫能產業的快速發展,可再生能源面臨著令人興奮的機會。利用可再生電力產生的綠色氫氣,可以使重工業、航運和航空等難以脫碳的產業脫碳。澳洲、日本和德國等國家大力投資綠氫基礎設施和計劃。此外,工業界和可再生能源公司之間的合作正在幫助氫技術商業化。
常規能源競爭
儘管存在環境問題,石化燃料仍然是主要競爭對手,特別是在化石燃料豐富且補貼豐厚的地區。在許多國家,煤炭和天然氣比可再生能源更便宜。政府向石化燃料產業提供稅收減免和補貼,進一步削弱了可再生能源的競爭優勢。此外,支援石化燃料的現有能源網路和基礎設施也使向可再生能源的過渡變得複雜。
COVID-19 的疫情對可再生能源市場產生了各種影響。由於供應鏈中斷以及封鎖和監管造成的計劃開發延遲,可再生能源計劃的開發放緩。由於投資被暫時重新分配以解決緊迫的經濟和公共衛生問題,某些地區的可再生能源資金受到影響。然而,隨著能源需求模式的改變以及許多國家增加了再生能源在其能源結構中的佔有率,與石化燃料相比,這場流行病證明了再生能源的彈性。
預計水電產業在預測期內將是最大的
預計可再生能源市場將由水力發電部門主導。其成熟的基礎設施、擴充性和作為穩定能源來源的可靠性是其優越性的原因。水力發電廠是世界能源結構的重要組成部分,因為它們提供基本負載電力。與太陽能和風能等間歇性能源來源相比,水力發電廠可以快速改變其輸出以滿足不斷變化的能源需求。此外,水力發電是許多國家(包括中國、巴西和加拿大)可再生能源的主要來源。儘管存在高初始資本投資和環境問題等障礙,該行業仍具有較長的營運壽命和較低的營業成本。
預計住宅領域在預測期內複合年成長率最高
在可再生能源市場中,住宅領域預計將以最高的複合年成長率成長。這種成長是由小型可再生能源的使用不斷增加所推動的,例如家用電池儲存系統、屋頂太陽能電池板和住宅風力發電機。世界各國政府提供稅額扣抵、上網電價補貼和補貼等獎勵,以鼓勵住宅轉向可再生能源,進一步推動了市場成長。此外,技術發展正在降低可再生能源系統的成本並提高其效率,滿足消費者對環境永續性和能源獨立性的需求。
預計可再生能源市場將由亞太地區主導。這一優勢是由對太陽能發電工程的大量投資推動的,特別是在中國和印度等國家,這些國家是全球太陽能電池板市場的主要參與企業。隨著該地區快速的都市化和工業化增加了能源需求,各國政府正在製定獎勵,鼓勵使用可再生能源。此外,澳洲和日本等國家正在大力投資可再生基礎設施,鞏固了該地區作為可再生能源開發先驅的地位。
在預測期內,北美地區將出現可再生能源市場複合年成長率最高的地區。旨在減少碳排放和鼓勵永續能源實踐的政府計劃,以及增加對可再生技術(特別是太陽能和風力發電)的投資,正在推動這一成長。隨著經濟成長導致電力需求持續增加,該地區對尖端可再生能源生產技術的重視預計將進一步加速市場擴張。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Renewable Energy Market is accounted for $1269.14 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach $3567.85 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 18.8% during the forecast period. Renewable energy describes energy that comes from natural resources like sunlight, wind, rain, tides, waves, and geothermal heat that are restored on a human timescale. Since renewable energy sources emit fewer greenhouse gases and contribute to less environmental pollution than fossil fuels, they are essential for halting climate change and guaranteeing sustainable development.
According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), global renewable energy capacity is set to nearly triple by 2030 under its accelerated scenario, reaching almost 11,000 GW.
Reduction in renewable technology costs
Renewable energy technologies have become economically competitive with fossil fuels due to a significant decrease in cost over the last ten years. The International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) reports that onshore wind costs have dropped by 40% since 2010, while solar PV module prices have dropped by 80%. This trend is being driven by technological innovations, economies of scale, and manufacturing advancements. Additionally, China's hegemony in the production of solar panels, for instance, has helped to lower prices globally, and advancements in turbine efficiency have made wind power more affordable.
Expensive initial investment costs
Despite considerable cost reductions, renewable energy technologies still require a large initial investment when compared to conventional fossil fuel systems. Large financial investments are needed for infrastructure such as wind turbines, solar farms, and sophisticated grid systems. Large offshore wind projects, for example, can put off investors due to the costs of grid integration, subsea cabling, and turbine installation. Furthermore, adoption rates are also slowed by developing nations limited financial resources, which frequently make it difficult to set aside money for renewable energy projects without outside assistance or loans.
Development of green hydrogen
Renewable energy has a revolutionary opportunity with the burgeoning green hydrogen sector. Decarbonizing hard-to-abate industries like heavy industry, shipping, and aviation may be possible with green hydrogen, which is generated using renewable electricity. Australia, Japan, and Germany are among the nations making significant investments in green hydrogen infrastructure and projects. Moreover, collaborations between industries and renewable energy firms are propelling the commercialization of hydrogen technologies.
Conventional energy's competitiveness
Fossil fuels continue to be a major rival despite environmental concerns, particularly in areas where they are plentiful and heavily subsidized. Coal and natural gas continue to be more affordable and available than renewable alternatives in many nations. The competitive advantage of renewable energy is further hampered by governments that offer tax breaks or subsidies to the fossil fuel industry. Additionally, the established energy networks and infrastructure that support fossil fuels also make the switch to renewable energy sources more difficult.
The COVID-19 pandemic affected the market for renewable energy in different ways. The deployment of renewable energy projects was slowed down, on the one hand, by supply chain disruptions and project development delays brought on by lockdowns and restrictions. Funding for renewable energy was impacted in certain areas as investments were momentarily reallocated to address pressing economic and public health issues. However, as energy demand patterns changed and renewables grew in proportion to the energy mix in many nations, the pandemic demonstrated the resilience of renewables in comparison to fossil fuels.
The Hydroelectric Power segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The market for renewable energy is expected to be dominated by the hydroelectric power segment. Its established infrastructure, scalability, and dependability as a steady energy source are the reasons for its dominance. Hydroelectric plants are an essential part of the world's energy mix because they supply base load electricity. Hydropower plants can swiftly modify their output to satisfy changing energy demands, in contrast to intermittent sources like solar and wind. Furthermore, hydropower is a major source of renewable energy in many nations, such as China, Brazil, and Canada. Despite obstacles like high initial capital investment and environmental concerns, the segment enjoys long operational life spans and low operating costs.
The Residential segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
In the market for renewable energy, the residential segment is projected to grow at the highest CAGR. The growing use of small-scale renewable energy sources like home battery storage systems, rooftop solar panels, and residential wind turbines is what is causing this growth. The growth of the market is being further accelerated by governments around the world offering incentives such as tax credits, feed-in tariffs, and subsidies to entice homeowners to switch to renewable energy. Moreover, technological developments have reduced the cost and increased the efficiency of renewable energy systems, satisfying consumer demands for environmental sustainability and energy independence.
The market for renewable energy is expected to be dominated by the Asia Pacific region. Significant investments in solar power projects, especially in nations like China and India, which are major participants in the global solar panel market, are the driving force behind this dominance. Rapid urbanization and industrialization in the area have raised energy demands, which is why governments are enacting incentives to encourage the use of renewable energy. Additionally, countries like Australia and Japan are making significant investments in renewable infrastructure, strengthening the region's standing as a pioneer in the development of renewable energy.
Over the course of the forecast period, the renewable energy market is expected to grow at the highest CAGR in the North American region. Government programs aimed at lowering carbon emissions and encouraging sustainable energy practices, as well as growing investments in renewable technologies, particularly solar and wind energy, are driving this growth. The region's emphasis on cutting-edge renewable energy production techniques is anticipated to further accelerate market expansion as the demand for electricity continues to rise as a result of economic growth.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Renewable Energy market include ABB Ltd, EDF Renewables, Innergex, Schneider Electric, Adani Green Energy Ltd, Tata Power Company Limited, General Electric (GE), Enel Green Power S.p.A, Acconia S.A., Invenergy, Suzlon Energy Ltd., Geronimo Energy, Xcel Energy Inc, Orient Green Power Company Ltd and Siemens Gamesa Renewable Energy, S.A.
In November 2024, EDF Renewables North America has signed a 20-year Energy Storage Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) with Arizona Public Service (APS) for the development of the Beehive Battery Energy Storage System in Peoria, Arizona. This stand-alone battery energy storage system (BESS), with a capacity of 250 MW and four-hour duration, is expected to begin construction in 2025 and reach commercial operation in 2026.
In October 2024, Schneider Electric and StarCharge have signed a joint venture agreement aimed at driving innovation in the European electric vehicle (EV) and energy storage markets. The joint venture will create a leading European prosumer company delivering EV charging infrastructure, photovoltaic inverters, AC and DC chargers, and storage systems to the European market.
In May 2024, ABB Canada and Powrmatic Canada Ltd announced a new regional distribution agreement. Powrmatic will provide electrical contractors increased access to a complete portfolio of cutting-edge ABB products and smart building solutions including, safety switches, switchboards, panelboards, amongst others, aimed at lowering energy consumption and ensuring electrical safety in residential and commercial buildings.