市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1617080
2030 年大豆市場預測:按產品類型、來源、分銷管道、形式、應用和地區進行的全球分析Soybean Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Product Type (Soybean Seeds, Soybean Oil, Soy Meal, Soy Protein, Soy Lecithin and Other Product Types), Source, Distribution Channel, Form, Application and By Geography |
根據Stratistics MRC的數據,2024年全球大豆市場規模為1,664億美元,預計在預測期內將以6.6%的複合年成長率成長,到2030年達到2,441.7億美元。
大豆是原產於東亞的豆類,因其種子而被廣泛種植,富含蛋白質、油和其他必需營養素。大豆以其多功能性而聞名,可用於多種食品,包括豆腐、豆奶、醬油和牲畜飼料。大豆油是用於烹飪和工業用途的主要植物油。它也是植物蛋白的主要來源,因此經常用於純素食和素食飲食,並且對於生質燃料的生產至關重要。
根據美國,2023年美國豆油產量將達1,228萬噸,高於2019年的1,130萬噸。豆油需求的成長預計將在預測期內加強市場。
對植物性蛋白質的需求不斷增加
植物蛋白的日益普及是推動大豆市場成長的主要因素。隨著越來越多的消費者轉向素食、純素和彈性素食,富含優質蛋白質的大豆已成為植物性食品的關鍵成分。大豆蛋白用於多種產品,包括肉類替代品、乳製品替代品和富含蛋白質的零嘴零食,吸引了注重健康的消費者和尋求永續食品的消費者。人們對植物性飲食的環境效益的認知不斷提高,進一步推動了對大豆產品的需求,使大豆成為全球食品產業重要的蛋白質來源。
過量攝取大豆引發的健康問題
對大豆過量攝取潛在健康風險的擔憂正在影響大豆市場。一些研究表明,過量攝取豆製品,尤其是含有植物雌激素的豆製品,會破壞荷爾蒙平衡,導致甲狀腺功能障礙和生殖健康問題等問題。此外,過量攝取可能會對大豆過敏的人造成風險。這些擔憂導致一些消費者謹慎行事,其中一些消費者避開豆製品,轉而選擇其他植物性蛋白質來源。儘管適量攝取大豆對健康有益,但這些與健康相關的擔憂可能會影響對豆製品的需求,特別是在某些市場和人口統計中。
大豆種植技術創新
大豆種植技術創新為大豆市場的擴大做出了重大貢獻。基因改造 (GM) 種子、精密農業和先進灌溉技術等創新正在提高作物產量,並使大豆生產更加高效和富有彈性。例如,基因改造大豆經過改造可以抵抗害蟲和環境壓力,減少對農藥的需求並提高整體生產力。此外,感測器和衛星圖像等資料主導技術使農民能夠最佳化種植、灌溉和收穫過程,進一步提高生產效率,並有助於滿足全球對大豆日益成長的需求。
氣候變遷和天氣風險
氣候變遷和天氣相關風險對大豆市場構成主要障礙。大豆對天氣高度敏感,乾旱、洪水和意外溫度變化等極端事件會嚴重影響作物產量。在美國中西部和巴西等主要產區,降雨模式的變化和乾旱期的延長可能會導致產量下降和生產成本上升。這些不可預測的天氣事件不僅擾亂供應鏈,還會導致市場價格波動,使生產商難以製定計劃,影響全球大豆供應,最終影響世界貿易。
COVID-19 的影響
COVID-19 大流行對大豆市場產生了多種影響。最初,全球供應鏈的中斷,包括勞動力短缺和運輸延誤,給大豆生產和分銷帶來了挑戰。然而,隨著消費者尋求更健康的食品,這種流行病也導致對植物蛋白的需求增加。植物性飲食的興起增加了對豆製品的需求,尤其是肉類替代品。此外,牲畜飼料生產的中斷增加了對豆粕的依賴,進一步增加了對大豆的需求。
預計豆粕產業在預測期內將是最大的
由於用作高蛋白動物飼料,特別是在家禽、生豬和畜牧業中,豆粕市場預計是最大的。隨著世界對肉類和乳製品的需求增加,對高效、營養的動物飼料的需求也增加。此外,由於環境和健康問題,轉向更永續的植物性飼料使得大豆粕更加受歡迎。大豆粕具有成本效益高、營養豐富的特點,是全球首選的牲畜飼料。
預計動物飼料產業在預測期內複合年成長率最高。
由於大豆粕是牲畜蛋白質的重要來源,因此動物飼料產業預計在預測期內複合年成長率最高。隨著全球肉類和乳製品消費的增加,特別是在新興經濟體,對高品質、具成本效益的動物飼料的需求不斷增加。大豆是一種受歡迎的飼料原料,因為它們蛋白質含量高、易於消化、營養價值高。此外,永續植物來源動物飼料的成長趨勢進一步促進了大豆在動物營養中的使用。
由於健康意識的提高和植物性飲食的普及,對豆腐、豆奶和大豆蛋白等豆製品的需求不斷增加,預計亞太地區將在預測期內佔據最大的市場佔有率。此外,該地區畜牧業不斷擴大,推動了對大豆粕作為關鍵飼料原料的需求。都市化進程的加速、收入的增加和飲食模式的改變進一步增加了對豆製品的需求。此外,中國和印度等國家生質燃料生產的擴大也支持了該地區大豆市場的成長。
由於食品、飼料和生質燃料產業對豆基產品的強勁需求,預計北美在預測期內將呈現最高的複合年成長率。美國是大豆主要生產國和出口國,作為植物性食品和肉類替代品的大豆蛋白消費量正在增加。畜牧業的成長將進一步推動飼料級豆粕的需求。此外,在政府政策和永續性目標的支持下,生物柴油產量的增加正在促進北美大豆市場的持續成長。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Soybean Market is accounted for $166.40 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach $244.17 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 6.6% during the forecast period. Soybean is a leguminous plant native to East Asia, widely cultivated for its seeds, which are rich in protein, oil, and other essential nutrients. Known for its versatility, soybeans are used in a variety of food products, including tofu, soy milk, and soy sauce, as well as animal feed. Soybean oil is a major vegetable oil used in cooking and industrial applications. The plant is also a key source of plant-based protein, making it a popular ingredient in vegan and vegetarian diets, and is crucial for biofuel production.
According to the USDA, U.S. soybean oil production reached 12.28 million metric tons in 2023, up from 11.3 million metric tons in 2019. This growing demand for soybean oil is set to bolster the market during the forecast period.
Increasing demand for plant-based proteins
The rising popularity of plant-based proteins is a key factor driving growth in the soybean market. As more consumers shift toward vegetarian, vegan, and flexitarian diets, soybeans, which are rich in high-quality protein, have become a key ingredient in plant-based food products. Soy protein is used in a wide range of meat alternatives, dairy substitutes, and protein-rich snacks, appealing to health-conscious consumers and those seeking sustainable food options. The growing awareness of the environmental benefits of plant-based diets further boosts the demand for soy-based products, positioning soybeans as a critical source of protein in the global food industry.
Health concerns over excessive soy consumption
Concerns about the potential health risks of consuming too much soy are affecting the soybean market. Some studies suggest that high intake of soy products, particularly those containing phytoestrogens, may disrupt hormonal balance, potentially leading to issues like thyroid dysfunction or reproductive health concerns. Additionally, excessive consumption may pose risks for individuals with soy allergies. These concerns have led to cautious consumer behavior, with some avoiding soy-based products in favour of other plant-based protein sources. Despite the health benefits of moderate soy consumption, these growing health-related worries may influence the demand for soy products, particularly in certain markets and demographics.
Technological advancements in soybean farming
Technological innovations in soybean farming are significantly contributing to the expansion of the soybean market. Innovations such as genetically modified (GM) seeds, precision farming, and advanced irrigation techniques have enhanced crop yields, making soybean production more efficient and resilient. GM soybeans, for example, are designed to be resistant to pests, diseases, and environmental stress, which reduces the need for pesticides and increases overall productivity. Additionally, data-driven technologies, like sensors and satellite imagery, enable farmers to optimize planting, irrigation, and harvesting processes, further boosting production efficiency and meeting the rising global demand for soybeans.
Climate change and weather risks
Climate change and weather-related risks present major obstacles to the soybean market. Soybeans are highly sensitive to weather conditions, and extreme events such as droughts, floods, or unexpected temperature shifts can severely impact crop yields. Shifting rainfall patterns and prolonged dry spells in key growing regions, like the U.S. Midwest and Brazil, can lead to reduced harvests and increased production costs. These unpredictable weather events not only disrupt supply chains but also create price volatility in the market, making it harder for producers to plan and affecting global soybean availability, which in turn influences food production and global trade.
Covid-19 Impact
The COVID-19 pandemic had a mixed impact on the soybean market. Initially, the global supply chain disruptions, including labor shortages and transportation delays, led to challenges in soybean production and distribution. However, the pandemic also led to an increased demand for plant-based proteins as consumers turned to healthier food options. The rise in plant-based diets boosted the demand for soy products, especially in meat alternatives. Additionally, disruptions in animal feed production led to a greater reliance on soymeal, further driving soybean demand.
The soy meal segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The soy meal segment is estimated to be the largest, due to its use as a high-protein animal feed, especially in poultry, swine, and cattle farming. As the global demand for meat and dairy products increases, the need for efficient and nutritious animal feed also rises. Additionally, the shift toward more sustainable and plant-based feed options, due to environmental and health concerns, further boosts the popularity of soy meal. Its cost-effectiveness and high nutritional value make it a preferred choice for livestock feed globally.
The animal feed segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
The animal feed segment is anticipated to witness the highest CAGR during the forecast period, as soy meal, a by-product of soybean processing, is a vital protein source for livestock. As global meat and dairy consumption increases, especially in emerging economies, the need for high-quality, cost-effective animal feed rises. Soybeans are a preferred feed ingredient due to their high protein content, digestibility, and nutritional benefits. Additionally, the growing trend of sustainable and plant-based animal feed options further drives soybean usage in animal nutrition.
Asia Pacific is expected to have the largest market share during the forecast period due to increasing demand for soy-based products, such as tofu, soy milk, and soy protein, due to rising health consciousness and the popularity of plant-based diets. Additionally, the region's growing livestock sector fuels demand for soy meal as a key animal feed ingredient. Increasing urbanization, rising incomes, and changing dietary patterns further contribute to the demand for soy products. Additionally, the expansion of biofuel production in countries like China and India also supports soybean market growth in the region.
North America is projected to witness the highest CAGR over the forecast period, owing to strong demand for soy-based products in food, animal feed, and biofuel sectors. The U.S. is a major producer and exporter of soybeans, with increasing consumption of soy protein in plant-based food products and meat substitutes. The growing livestock industry further boosts the demand for soy meal in animal feed. Additionally, the rise in biodiesel production, supported by government policies and sustainability goals, contributes to the continued growth of the soybean market in North America.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players profiled in the Soybean Market include Cargill, Inc., Archer Daniels Midland Company (ADM), Bunge Limited, Louis Dreyfus Company (LDC), Olam Group, China National Chemical Corporation, Wilmar International Limited, Sojaprotein, Golden State Foods Corporation, COFCO Corporation, Sime Darby Plantation, Sinograin, Tate & Lyle PLC, Tyson Foods, Inc., Ruchi Soya Industries Ltd., Adani Wilmar Limited, The Scoular Company, The Andersons, Inc., Bunge Brazil, and Viterra Inc.
In November 2023, Cargill launched a new line of plant-based soy protein products designed for the food industry, aimed at meeting the growing demand for plant-based proteins in meat alternatives and other food products.
In August 2023, Bunge introduced a new soybean oil refining process that increases efficiency and reduces energy consumption, improving sustainability in the production of soybean oil for food and industrial applications.
In May 2023, Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) announced the expansion of its plant-based protein portfolio, including new formulations of soy protein isolates and concentrates to cater to the growing demand for vegan and plant-based foods.
In March 2023, Olam introduced new soy protein concentrates aimed at the food and beverage industry, specifically designed to enhance texture and protein content in meat analogs and snacks.