市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1479850
非基因改造大豆市場 - 2024 年至 2029 年預測Non-GMO Soybean Market - Forecasts from 2024 to 2029 |
全球非基因改造大豆市場預計將從 2022 年的 576.31 億美元增至 2029 年的 737.01 億美元,預測期內複合年成長率為 3.58%。
有幾個關鍵因素正在推動全球非基因改造大豆市場的成長。關鍵促進因素之一是消費者對基改作物潛在健康風險的擔憂日益增加。對過敏性、抗生素抗藥性以及對人類健康的廣泛影響的擔憂導致許多人積極尋求非基因改造替代品,例如非基因改造大豆。
此外,非基因改造大豆的生產通常與更永續的農業實踐相關,例如減少農藥和除草劑的使用以及促進生物多樣性。
此外,一些國家對基改作物實施了限制或徹底禁令,為非基因改造大豆生產商創造了利潤豐厚的出口機會,並擴大了全球市場。
特別是美國是最大的大豆出口國之一,2023年產量為49噸。美國農業部估計,美國約有440萬英畝用於非基因改造大豆種植,而在2022年大豆總種植面積87,455,000英畝中,1,924,010英畝將用於非基因改造食品。
此外,人們對基因改造標籤法規的認知不斷提高,一些國家對基因改造產品實施強制標籤。這種透明度的提高可以使消費者做出明智的選擇,並導致對大豆等非基因改造食品的需求增加。
植物性蛋白質需求
隨著越來越多的消費者採用素食、純素和彈性素食飲食,對植物性蛋白質替代品的需求顯著增加。非基因改造大豆以其多功能性和成本效益而聞名,是許多植物性肉類食品、乳製品食品和各種其他食品的重要成分。
根據歐盟委員會最近發布的報告,歐盟27國大豆種植面積預計將擴大30%,從2023年的100萬公頃增加至2035年的130萬公頃。
報告預測,2023 年至 2035 年間,歐盟境內的土地用途將發生重大轉變,從種植穀物轉向種植大豆和豆類。這些土地利用變化是由於對作為飼料的穀物的需求下降、促進輪作和作物蛋白質作物的政策獎勵、對植物性蛋白質和當地生產的產品的需求增加以及非基因改造標籤的激增這是由多種因素推動的,包括轉向無毀林大豆生產。
此外,消費者優先考慮消費性動物性蛋白質對健康的影響以及畜牧業的環境足跡。與傳統的動物性蛋白質來源相比,非基因改造大豆被認為是更健康、更永續的替代蛋白質來源。
未來豆粕中非基因改造大豆的使用預計將進一步擴大。
非基因改造大豆是生產靈活且營養豐富的大豆粕的基礎,豆粕主要用於動物飼料和其他工業應用。豆粕是在碾碎大豆和提取大豆油的過程中產生的富含蛋白質的殘留物。這種豆粕具有很高的價值,由於其蛋白質含量高,對於水產養殖、豬、牛和雞飼料尤其重要。
世界各地生產的大多數大豆都散裝儲存,然後運往工業設施,在那裡進一步加工成油和豆粕。當大豆加工商將大豆壓榨成豆油和豆粕時,為其供應鏈增加了最大的價值。而且,透過增加大豆壓榨、豆粕、大豆油的產量,我們可以選擇有利的市場條件並獲得利潤。
根據美國農業部 (USDA) 發布的資料,飼料廢棄物佔所有飼料的很大一部分,2020-2021 年增加了 1%。在印度,570萬噸豆粕、450萬噸棉籽粕(主要用作動物飼料)、340萬噸菜籽粕、160萬噸花生粕以及其餘9,200噸其他油粕用作飼料它被用作。此外,印度豆粕消費量從2020/21銷售年度的570萬噸大幅增加至2021/22銷售年度的575萬噸。
此外,印度非基因改造豆粕在歐盟和美國的需求穩定,伊朗的需求不斷增加。一般來說,印度食品的最大進口國是孟加拉、越南、泰國、韓國和美國。歷史上,印度食品的機會因價格和競爭市場的膳食而減少,特別是在亞洲和中東的消費者中。
隨著農業對開放性和永續性的需求不斷成長,非基因改造豆粕確保我們滿足消費者和動物生產者對非基因改造飼料原料的需求。當添加到複合飼料中時,豆粕可以透過增強肌肉、促進健康生長和整體健康來幫助滿足雞和牛的營養需求。豆粕也用於動物飼料以外的行業,例如黏劑、聚合物和生物基產品。因此,豆粕在各行業中發揮重要作用。總體而言,豆粕對於永續畜牧業至關重要,可以滿足各種消費者和生產者的需求。
非基因改造豆粕產業的產業相關人員專注於獲得認證和開放供應鏈。我們正在開發新的大豆品種和加工方法,以提高營養和品質。瞄準和拓展專業市場是策略品牌、行銷和協作的目標。
此外,最近的一項研究發現,烏克蘭 AdamPolSoya(ATK 集團)壓榨機生產的豆粕僅使用經過認證的永續成分,使其成為歐洲銷售的最常見豆粕,其二氧化碳排放普通豆粕低 80%。 AdamPolSoya(ATK集團)位於烏克蘭赫梅利尼茨基地區,僅使用Europe Soya認證的大豆,顯著減少了認證豆粕產品的碳足跡。該研究由奧地利有機農業研究所(FiBL)進行。
預計北美地區市場將成長。
由於商品大豆價格低廉、溢價誘人以及基改大豆種子成本上升,美國農民正在增加種植面積。大學代表、穀物買家和大豆協會代表表示,對非基因改造大豆的需求增加將導致非基因改造大豆的種植面積增加。自推出以來,基改抗農達大豆已佔據美國大豆種植面積的大部分。
在美國,2021年大豆種植面積為8,720萬英畝,其中440萬英畝為非基因改造大豆。相較之下,2022 年和 2020 年預計面積分別為 410 萬英畝和 500 萬英畝。美國大豆種植者種植了約 260 萬英畝食品級大豆,這些大豆被出售用於豆腐、豆奶、味噌、納豆和豆芽等用途。剩餘的170萬英畝土地被用作飼料大豆。
此外,國際企業的進入預計將進一步提振國內非基因改造大豆需求。例如,2024 年 1 月,密蘇裡州商品行銷委員會和以其優質機會和遺傳多樣性而聞名的 Beck 宣布了 SOYLEIC® 大豆的策略性授權合約。透過利用 Beck 的廣泛網路,這種合作關係將使高油酸 (HO) 行業受益,並完美地實現 SOYLEIC® 為大豆種植者提供 HO 基因的目標。
與傳統油相比,高油酸大豆油具有許多優點和一些理想的特性。來自美國的高油酸大豆油可改善脂肪分佈,增加中性風味,延長產品保存期限,讓食品成為焦點。它的煎炸時間也是所有食用油中最長的。此外,SOYLEIC(R) 是目前唯一提供的非基因改造大豆品種,而市面上還有其他高油酸品種。
此外,2022 年 2 月,解鎖植物遺傳多樣性的食品科技公司 Benson Hill, Inc. 宣布推出一系列注重永續性的非基因改造國產植物蛋白成分 。 TruVailTM 品牌提供的首款產品是高蛋白大豆粉、大豆濃縮蛋白 (SPC) 的低加工版本、可用於傳統大豆蛋白的多種應用的組織化蛋白,並且可以快速也可用於不斷成長的替代植物來源市場。
The global non-genetically modified organisms (GMO) soybean market is anticipated to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.58% over the forecast period to reach a market valuation of US$73.701 billion by 2029, from US$57.631 billion in 2022.
Several significant factors are driving the global non-GMO soybean market growth. One primary driver is the increasing consumer concern regarding the potential health risks associated with GMOs. Worries about allergenicity, antibiotic resistance, and broader implications on human health are prompting many individuals to actively seek out non-GMO alternatives, such as non-GMO soybeans.
Additionally, non-GMO soybean production is often associated with more sustainable farming practices, including reduced pesticide and herbicide usage, as well as the promotion of biodiversity.
Furthermore, some countries have implemented restrictions or outright bans on GMO products, creating lucrative export opportunities for non-GMO soybean producers and thereby expanding the global market.
Notably, the United States stands as one of the largest exporters of soybeans, with a production of 49 metric tons in 2023 . The USDA estimates that approximately 4.4 million acres in the U.S. are dedicated to non-GMO soybean cultivation, 1,924,010 is given to non-GMO food-grade soybean out of a total soybean acreage of 87,455,000 in 2022.
Moreover, there is a growing awareness surrounding GMO labeling regulations, with some countries mandating labeling requirements for GMO products. This increased transparency empowers consumers to make informed choices and can lead to heightened demand for non-GMO options like soybeans
Demand for plant proteins
A growing number of consumers are embracing vegetarian, vegan, or flexitarian diets, which has spurred a significant uptick in the demand for plant-based protein alternatives. Non-GMO soybeans, renowned for their versatility and cost-effectiveness, serve as a pivotal ingredient in numerous plant-based meat substitutes, dairy alternatives, and various other food products.
According to a recent report published by the European Commission, it is projected that the soybean cultivation area within the EU-27 will witness a 30% expansion, reaching 1.3 million hectares by 2035, up from 1.0 million hectares in 2023.
The report anticipates a notable shift in land utilization within the EU, with a transition from cereals to soybeans and pulses between 2023 and 2035. This shift in land use is driven by several factors, including anticipated reduced demand for cereals as feed, policy incentives promoting crop rotation and the cultivation of protein crops, escalating demand for plant-based proteins and local products, a surge in GMO-free labeled products, and a push towards deforestation-free soybean production .
Further, consumers are increasingly prioritizing concerns regarding the health implications of animal protein consumption and the environmental footprint of animal agriculture. Non-GMO soybeans are perceived as a healthier and more sustainable alternative protein source compared to traditional animal-derived protein sources.
The non-GMO soybean application in soybean meal is estimated to grow
Non-GMO soybean is the basis for the manufacturing of soybean meal, a flexible and nutrient-rich material mostly used in animal feed and other industrial uses. Soybean meal, a residue high in protein, is formed by crushing the soybeans to liberate the oil during the extraction process. This soybean meal is highly regarded and is an essential part of animal diets, especially for aquaculture, pigs, cattle, and poultry, because of its high protein content.
The majority of soybeans produced globally are kept before being sent in huge quantities to industrial facilities where they are further processed into oil and meal. When soybeans are crushed to make soybean oil and meal, soybean processors contribute the greatest value to the supply chain. Additionally, they can make choices and benefit from favorable market circumstances by increasing the amount of soybeans crushed, meal, or oil produced.
As per the data published by the USDA, a significant portion of the total feed used is feed waste increased by 1% in MY 2020-2021. 5.7 million tonnes of soybean meal, 4.5 million tonnes of cottonseed meal (mostly used as animal feed), 3.4 million tonnes of rapeseed meal, 1.6 million tonnes of peanut meal, and the remaining 0.92 million tonnes of other oil meals were utilized as feed in India. Additionally, the consumption of soybean meal in India has significantly increased from 5,700 thousand tonnes in the marketing year 2020/21 to 5,750 thousand tonnes in the year 2021/22.
Furthermore, India's non-genetically modified soybean meal is in consistent demand in the EU and the US, and demand from Iran is also rising. Generally, the top importers of Indian food are Bangladesh, Vietnam, Thailand, South Korea, and the United States. Opportunities for Indian food have historically been reduced by meals from other markets that are priced competitively, especially among consumers in Asia and the Middle East.
As the need for openness and sustainability in agriculture grows, non-GMO certification guarantees that the soybean meal satisfies the requirements of consumers and animal producers looking for non-genetically modified feed components. It helps meet the nutritional requirements of chickens and cattle by building muscle and promoting healthy growth and general health when added to complex meals. Soybean meal is used in businesses other than animal feeding, including adhesives, polymers, and bio-based goods. This highlights the meal's significance across a range of industries. Overall, non-GMO soybean meal is essential to sustainable animal husbandry and satisfies a range of consumer and producer demands.
Industry participants in the non-GMO soybean meal sector concentrate on securing certifications and opening up the supply chain. To enhance nutrition and quality, they develop novel soybean cultivars and processing methods. Targeting specialized markets and broadening their reach are the goals of strategic branding, marketing, and collaborations.
Furthermore, recent research found that the soymeal produced at the AdamPolSoya (ATK Group) crusher in Ukraine had 80% lower CO2 emissions than the typical soybean meal sold in Europe since it is made only from certified, sustainable, and non-GMO soybeans. The AdamPolSoya (ATK Group) in the Khmelnitsky region of Ukraine exclusively uses Europe Soya certified soybeans, which significantly reduces the processed certified soybean meal's carbon footprint. The study was conducted by the Research Institute of Organic Agriculture (FiBL) Austria.
The market is projected to grow in the North American region.
American farmers are planting more non-GMO soybeans due to low commodity soybean prices, attractive premiums, and rising costs for genetically modified soybean seed. University representatives, grain buyers, and soybean association representatives all state that as demand for non-GMO soybeans rises, more non-GMO acres will be planted. Since their introduction, genetically modified Roundup Ready soybeans have accounted for a growing portion of US soybean acreage annually.
In the United States, 4.4 million of the 87.2 million soybean acres planted in 2021 are non-GMO. This is contrasted with an estimated 4.1 million in 2022 and 5 million in 2020. About 2.6 million acres were planted by American soy farmers with food-grade soybeans, which are sold for tofu, soymilk, miso, natto, sprouts, and other uses. Feed-grade soy covered the remaining 1.7 million acres of non-GMO soy.
In addition, expansion ventures by international players into the market are further expected to boost the non-GMO soybeans demand in the country. For instance, in January 2024, the Missouri Soybean Merchandising Council and Beck's, renowned for their premium opportunities and diverse genetics, announced a strategic licensing agreement with SOYLEIC(R) soybeans. By utilizing Beck's extensive network, this partnership benefits the high oleic (HO) sector and perfectly complements SOYLEIC(R)'s objective of providing soybean farmers with access to HO genetics .
In contrast to conventional oils, high oleic soybean oil offers numerous advantages and several desirable characteristics. American-grown high-oleic soybean oil improves the fat profile, adds a neutral flavour, prolongs the shelf life of products, and lets the food take centre stage. It also offers some of the longest fry times of any edible oil. Furthermore, SOYLEIC(R) is the only non-GMO soybean variety currently offered, even though there are other high oleic varieties on the market.
Moreover, in February 2022 , TruVailTM, a new line of domestically sourced, non-GMO plant-based protein ingredients with special sustainability benefits, was introduced by Benson Hill, Inc., a food technology company that is unlocking the genetic diversity of plants. The first products offered by the TruVailTM brand are high-protein soy flour, a less processed version of soy protein concentrate (SPC), and texturized proteins that can be used in a variety of conventional soy protein applications as well as the quickly expanding markets for alternative plant-based proteins.