日本 CEP（快遞包裹）：市場佔有率分析、行業趨勢和統計、成長預測（2025-2030 年）

日本快遞包裹 (CEP) 市場規模預計在 2025 年為 357.7 億美元，預計到 2030 年將達到 445.5 億美元，預測期內（2025-2030 年）的複合年成長率為 4.49%。

電子商務產業將推動日本細分市場需求

• 國內和跨境電子商務正在推動日本對宅配、快遞和小包裹服務的需求。 2022 年電子商務市場價值將達到 1,450 億美元，進而帶動 CEP 數量成長。經濟重新開放後，國內CEP需求整體增加。儘管該國勞動力老化且勞動力短缺，但 2022 年國內和國際 CEP 數量仍有所增加。小包裹重新投遞對 CEP 市場的成長做出了巨大貢獻。例如，2022 年 10 月，日本主要送貨上門宅配服務發送的小包裹中約有 11.8% 需要重新投遞，高於 2022 年 4 月的 11.7%。到 2024 年，在網路用戶普及率高的推動下，電子商務產業銷售額預計將達到 1,760 億美元。
• 2020 年，由於新冠疫情，電子商務為 CEP 市場做出了貢獻，其中時尚類別收益了25%，電子類別收益了19%。政府為遏制病毒傳播和在家工作而實施的限制措施導致了網上配送方式的流行。預計到 2027 年，電子商務規模將達到 2,250 億美元，這將大大增加 CEP 市場的需求。

日本CEP（快遞包裹）市場的趨勢

由於宅配需求不斷成長和勞動力短缺，MILT 將重點建造自動化貨運道路和物流隧道

• 2024 年 5 月 17 日，在東京車站舉行的展覽會上，重點強調了使用高速旅客列車的輕型貨運的擴張。這一轉變是由於商務用司機短缺和新的加班法導致公路運輸成本增加高達 20%。從 2023 年 8 月開始，JR 東日本將使用 12 輛車的 E 系列專用列車實施從新潟到東京的當日送貨服務。運送的物品包括生鮮食品、糖果零食、飲料、鮮花、精密零件、醫療用品等。 2023 年 9 月，JR 東日本在東北新幹線推出貨運專用服務，目前在其高速和特快網路中提供「Hako Bun」品牌貨運服務。
• 2024年3月，由於靜岡縣持續反對環保問題，JR東海放棄了2​​027年前在東京和名古屋之間引入高速磁浮列車的計劃，該計劃可能會被推遲到2034年或更晚。中央新幹線的目標是以每小時 500 公里的速度連接東京和大阪，但靜岡境內的一小段路程卻構成了重大障礙。

儘管政府提供補貼，2024 年 7 月燃油價格仍將上漲至 2023 年 10 月以來的最高水平

• 自然資源與能源署於2024年7月宣布，普通汽油零售價格已達每公升1.33美元。這一價格是自2023年10月以來約九個月以來的最高價格，零售價格的上漲是由於批發價格上漲。為了解決這個問題，各國政府正在向煉油精製提供補貼，以降低批發價格。此外，補貼金額也有所增加，6月27日至7月3日期間補貼金額為0.19美元，較前一週增加0.01美元。
• 日本天然氣公司預測，由於 2023-24 年天氣異常溫暖，城市天然氣使用量將下降，因此 2024 年 4 月至 2025 年 3 月的會計年度，城市天然氣需求將會增加。日本最大的瓦斯零售商東京瓦斯公司預測，到2025年，其城市瓦斯銷售量將增加1.1%至114.22億立方公尺。其中，居民用氣預計增加3.4%至28億立方米，工業和商務用預計增加0.3%至86億立方米。

其他福利

• Excel 格式的市場預測 (ME) 表
• 3 個月的分析師支持

目錄

第 1 章執行摘要和主要發現

第2章 報告要約

第 3 章 簡介

• 研究假設和市場定義
• 研究範圍
• 調查方法

第4章 產業主要趨勢

• 人口統計
• 按經濟活動分類的 GDP 分佈
• 經濟活動帶來的 GDP 成長
• 通貨膨脹率
• 經濟表現及概況
  • 電子商務產業趨勢
  • 製造業趨勢
• 交通運輸倉儲業生產毛額
• 出口趨勢
• 進口趨勢
• 燃油價格
• 物流績效
• 基礎設施
• 法律規範
  • 日本
• 價值鏈與通路分析

第5章 市場區隔

• 目的地
  • 國內的
  • 國際的
• 送貨速度
  • 表達
  • 非快遞
• 模型
  • 企業對企業 (B2B)
  • 企業對消費者 (B2C)
  • 消費者對消費者（C2C）
• 運輸重量
  • 重型貨物
  • 輕型貨物
  • 中等重量貨物
• 運輸方式
  • 航空郵件
  • 路
  • 其他
• 最終用戶
  • 電子商務
  • 金融服務（BFSI）
  • 衛生保健
  • 製造業
  • 一級產業
  • 批發零售（線下）
  • 其他

第6章 競爭格局

• 主要策略趨勢
• 市場佔有率分析
• 業務狀況
• 公司簡介
  • DHL Group
  • Ecohai
  • FedEx
  • Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd.
  • Nippon Express Holdings
  • Seino Holdings Co., Ltd.
  • SG Holdings Co., Ltd.
  • United Parcel Service of America, Inc.（UPS）
  • Yamato Holdings Co., Ltd.

第7章：執行長的關鍵策略問題

第 8 章 附錄

• 世界概況
  • 概述
  • 五力分析框架
  • 全球價值鏈分析
  • 市場動態(DRO)
  • 技術進步
• 資訊來源和進一步閱讀
• 圖表清單
• 關鍵見解
• 資料包
• 詞彙表

The Japan Courier, Express, and Parcel (CEP) Market size is estimated at 35.77 billion USD in 2025, and is expected to reach 44.55 billion USD by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 4.49% during the forecast period (2025-2030).

The e-commerce industry is driving the segmental demand in Japan

• Domestic and cross-border e-commerce is a major driver of the demand for courier, express, and parcel in the country. The e-commerce market was valued at USD 145 billion in 2022, leading to growth in CEP volume. Post re-opening of the economy, overall CEP demand in the country increased. The domestic and international CEP volume grew in 2022 despite the presence of an aging workforce in the country, along with labor shortages. The redelivery of parcels significantly contributed to the growth of the CEP market. For instance, approximately 11.8% of parcels shipped by major door-to-door delivery services in Japan had to be redelivered in October 2022, increasing from 11.7% in April 2022. By 2024, the revenue in the e-commerce industry is expected to reach USD 176 billion, driven by high internet user penetration.
• E-commerce, led by the fashion category with a 25% revenue contribution and the electronics category with a 19% revenue, contributed to the CEP market in 2020, owing to the COVID-19 pandemic. Government-imposed restrictions to curtail the spread of the virus and the work-from-home scenario led to the popularity of the online delivery method. E-commerce is projected to reach USD 225 billion by 2027, significantly increasing demand for the CEP market.

Japan Courier, Express, and Parcel (CEP) Market Trends

With growing demand for home deliveries & labour shortages, the MILT is focusing on construction of automatic cargo transport roads and logistics tunnels

• On May 17, 2024, a fair at Tokyo Station highlighted the growing use of high-speed passenger trains for light freight. This shift, driven by a shortage of commercial drivers and new overtime laws, has increased road delivery costs by up to 20%. Since August 2023, JR East has been running a same-day delivery service from Niigata to Tokyo using a dedicated 12-car Series E trainset. Items transported include fresh food, confectionery, drinks, flowers, precision components, and medical supplies. In September 2023, JR East launched a freight-only service on the Tohoku Shinkansen and now offers Hakobyun-branded freight services across its high-speed and Limited Express networks.
• In March 2024, Central Japan Railway Co. abandoned its plan to launch a high-speed maglev train between Tokyo and Nagoya by 2027 due to ongoing environmental opposition in Shizuoka Prefecture, possibly delaying the project until 2034 or later. The Linear Chuo Shinkansen aims to connect Tokyo and Osaka with trains reaching speeds of 500 kilometers per hour, but a small section in Shizuoka has been a major obstacle.

Rising prices of fuel in Japan witnessed in July 2024, highest since October 2023, despite government subsidies

• In July 2024, the Agency for Natural Resources and Energy announced that the retail price of regular gasoline reached USD 1.33 per liter, marking an increase of USD 0.006 from June 2024. This price point is the highest observed in nearly nine months, dating back to October 2023. The uptick in retail prices is attributed to surging wholesale prices. To counteract this, the government has been subsidizing oil refiners, ensuring that wholesale prices remain subdued. Moreover, the subsidy amount saw an uptick, rising to USD 0.19 between June 27 and July 3, which is an increase of USD 0.01 from the week prior.
• Japanese gas utilities expect city gas demand to rise in the fiscal year April 2024 to March 2025, following reduced usage in 2023-24 due to unusually warm weather. Tokyo Gas, Japan's largest gas retailer, forecasts city gas sales will increase by 1.1% to 11.422 billion cubic meters by 2025. Household sales are expected to grow by 3.4% to 2.8 billion cubic meters, while supplies to industry and commercial users are projected to rise by 0.3% to 8.6 billion cubic meters.

Japan Courier, Express, and Parcel (CEP) Industry Overview

The Japan Courier, Express, and Parcel (CEP) Market is fairly consolidated, with the major five players in this market being FedEx, Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd., Seino Holdings Co., Ltd., SG Holdings Co., Ltd. and Yamato Holdings Co., Ltd. (sorted alphabetically).

Additional Benefits:

• The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
• 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY & KEY FINDINGS

2 REPORT OFFERS

3 INTRODUCTION

• 3.1 Study Assumptions & Market Definition
• 3.2 Scope of the Study
• 3.3 Research Methodology

4 KEY INDUSTRY TRENDS

• 4.1 Demographics
• 4.2 GDP Distribution By Economic Activity
• 4.3 GDP Growth By Economic Activity
• 4.4 Inflation
• 4.5 Economic Performance And Profile
  • 4.5.1 Trends in E-Commerce Industry
  • 4.5.2 Trends in Manufacturing Industry
• 4.6 Transport And Storage Sector GDP
• 4.7 Export Trends
• 4.8 Import Trends
• 4.9 Fuel Price
• 4.10 Logistics Performance
• 4.11 Infrastructure
• 4.12 Regulatory Framework
  • 4.12.1 Japan
• 4.13 Value Chain & Distribution Channel Analysis

5 MARKET SEGMENTATION (includes Market Value in USD, Forecasts up to 2030 and analysis of growth prospects)

• 5.1 Destination
  • 5.1.1 Domestic
  • 5.1.2 International
• 5.2 Speed Of Delivery
  • 5.2.1 Express
  • 5.2.2 Non-Express
• 5.3 Model
  • 5.3.1 Business-to-Business (B2B)
  • 5.3.2 Business-to-Consumer (B2C)
  • 5.3.3 Consumer-to-Consumer (C2C)
• 5.4 Shipment Weight
  • 5.4.1 Heavy Weight Shipments
  • 5.4.2 Light Weight Shipments
  • 5.4.3 Medium Weight Shipments
• 5.5 Mode Of Transport
  • 5.5.1 Air
  • 5.5.2 Road
  • 5.5.3 Others
• 5.6 End User Industry
  • 5.6.1 E-Commerce
  • 5.6.2 Financial Services (BFSI)
  • 5.6.3 Healthcare
  • 5.6.4 Manufacturing
  • 5.6.5 Primary Industry
  • 5.6.6 Wholesale and Retail Trade (Offline)
  • 5.6.7 Others

6 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

• 6.1 Key Strategic Moves
• 6.2 Market Share Analysis
• 6.3 Company Landscape
• 6.4 Company Profiles
  • 6.4.1 DHL Group
  • 6.4.2 Ecohai
  • 6.4.3 FedEx
  • 6.4.4 Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd.
  • 6.4.5 Nippon Express Holdings
  • 6.4.6 Seino Holdings Co., Ltd.
  • 6.4.7 SG Holdings Co., Ltd.
  • 6.4.8 United Parcel Service of America, Inc. (UPS)
  • 6.4.9 Yamato Holdings Co., Ltd.

7 KEY STRATEGIC QUESTIONS FOR CEP CEOS

8 APPENDIX

• 8.1 Global Overview
  • 8.1.1 Overview
  • 8.1.2 Porter's Five Forces Framework
  • 8.1.3 Global Value Chain Analysis
  • 8.1.4 Market Dynamics (DROs)
  • 8.1.5 Technological Advancements
• 8.2 Sources & References
• 8.3 List of Tables & Figures
• 8.4 Primary Insights
• 8.5 Data Pack
• 8.6 Glossary of Terms